{"id":11141,"date":"2017-03-13T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-03-13T00:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/assessing-impacts-from-climate-change-on-local-social-ecological-systems-in-contextswhere-information-is-lacking-an-expert-elicitation-in-the-bolivian-altiplano\/"},"modified":"2019-10-24T20:57:12","modified_gmt":"2019-10-24T20:57:12","slug":"assessing-impacts-from-climate-change-on-local-social-ecological-systems-in-contextswhere-information-is-lacking-an-expert-elicitation-in-the-bolivian-altiplano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/assessing-impacts-from-climate-change-on-local-social-ecological-systems-in-contextswhere-information-is-lacking-an-expert-elicitation-in-the-bolivian-altiplano\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessing Impacts From Climate Change on Local Social-ecological Systems in ContextsWhere Information is Lacking: An Expert Elicitation in the Bolivian Altiplano"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Authors:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Santiago Guerrero\u00a0 (por CINVE, DINAMA, Banco de M\u00e9xico)<\/p>\n<p>Ad\u00e1n L. Mart\u00ednez-Cruz (por CIDE y CEPE)<\/p>\n<p>Miriam Ju\u00e1rez-Torres (por Banco de M\u00e9xico)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><strong>A b s t r a c t<\/strong><\/em><\/span><br \/>\nAssessment of the expected impacts from climate change is an essential input for agencies engaged in fostering<br \/>\nadaptation of local social-ecological systems. However, data is seldom available at the required scale. This study<br \/>\novercomes this hurdle by gathering data via an expert elicitation protocol. We report experts&#8217; judgements about<br \/>\ntwo topics: i) the impacts from climate change on crop yields in three communities located in the Bolivian Altiplano;<br \/>\nand ii) the effectiveness of specific irrigation techniques in mitigating the impacts from climate change in<br \/>\nthe communities under study. Our gathered data allowus to document heterogeneity of expected impacts across<br \/>\ncommunities \u2013with one community expected to experience an increase in yields under wet climate change scenarios.<br \/>\nExperts judge irrigation as an effective mitigation tool undermost of the dry climate change scenarios presented<br \/>\nto them. We believe that our data collection strategy represents a promising decision support tool for a<br \/>\nwide range of public policy issues. Particularly, when monetary and time constraints converge with the lack of<br \/>\nscientific information. In addition, the information gatheredwith this methodology can be incorporated into participatory<br \/>\nmethodologies gathering information from local social-ecological systems.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Assessing-impacts-from-climate-change-in-Bolivia_Ecolec_Adan_Miriam_SG.pdf\">Access Work<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors: Santiago Guerrero\u00a0 (por CINVE, DINAMA, Banco de M\u00e9xico) Ad\u00e1n L. Mart\u00ednez-Cruz (por CIDE y CEPE) Miriam Ju\u00e1rez-Torres (por Banco de M\u00e9xico) A b s t r a c t Assessment of the expected impacts from climate change is an essential input for agencies engaged in fostering adaptation of local social-ecological systems. However, data is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[138],"tags":[199],"class_list":{"0":"post-11141","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-articulos-2","7":"tag-metodos-cuantitativos-aplicados-en"},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11141","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11141"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11141\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14012,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11141\/revisions\/14012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11141"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11141"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cinve.org.uy\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11141"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}